Plausibility of performance

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As soon as the relevance of all factors is considered to be known and a large enough base of known alternatives exist, we can infer whether a new combination of factors will be a success or a failure. The expectations are based on all reference examples which at the same time form the base for the relevance hypothesis.

 

•A new variant (the candidate) is a plausible success, if at least one reference example exists that is a success as well und the variance (the importance of those factors with differing values) between those two examples is subcritical (below 1).
•A candidate is most likely a failure, if its variance from all known acceptable examples is critical or higher than 1.

 

Whenever two acceptable examples are based on the same ideal. Then the sum of all deviations from the ideal is below the value of 2.